Skip to content
Sabres at Senators
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
Final/OTTV MSG-B, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Bowen Byram scoring at 0:31. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bowen Byram's goal at 0:31 of overtime, which took the Sabres' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were BUF 25, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bowen Byram (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ridly Greig (1 G), 3. Alex Lyon (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    B. Byram2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    R. Greig1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    A. Lyon24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF112180411325
OTTOTT111180700226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    B. Byram(7)
    J. Greenway (3), J. Dunne (3)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:22
  2. OTT
    R. Greig(3)
    C. Giroux (18)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:13

2nd period

  1. BUF
    N. Ostlund(6)
    B. Byram (9), A. Tuch (19)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:11
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(18)PPG
    D. Batherson (22), D. Cozens (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:27

Overtime

  1. BUF
    B. Byram(8)
    R. McLeod (14), M. Samuelsson (10)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:31

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:12BUFMichael Kesselring · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:12OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min

2nd

  • 2:36OTTNikolas Matinpalo · Interferencedrawn by Josh Dunne2 min
  • 9:13BUFMichael Kesselring · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 13:51BUFZach Benson · High stickingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

3rd

  • 18:09BUFAlex Tuch · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBUF goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Bowen Byram, OT 0:31 — BUF 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.20D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.19B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.16T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.14D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.13F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.13T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.12D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greig · Goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.04N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.00M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsOTT
1.53 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF24%76%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsOTT
25
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
9
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23M. SamuelssonD011020.08110—26:39
25O. PowerD000010.11210—25:10
4B. ByramD213+320.18010—24:18
26R. DahlinD000-110.02010—22:48
89A. TuchR011+230.22122—18:01
72T. ThompsonC000-120.100205016:47
71R. McLeodC011+110.010003316:36
29B. MalenstynL000+100.07320—16:11
86N. OstlundC101+120.110003315:01
9J. NorrisC000+100.130005314:00
19P. KrebsC000-100.003105014:00
12J. GreenwayL011+140.10100—13:36
91J. DoanR000-110.04020—13:28
44J. DunneC011+110.042005013:13
8M. KesselringD000020.02024—12:39
6Z. BensonL000020.10002—12:24
22J. QuinnR000010.13110—12:21
73Z. MetsaD000+200.00100—08:38
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)26242.9232.95+0.9560:31

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).