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Sabres at Flyers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
2
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
FinalTV TNT, HBO MAX·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-2. The Sabres scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bobby Brink's goal at 9:25 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.8 to 3.7; shots on goal were BUF 29, PHI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Colten Ellis stopped 30 of 35 (.857); Samuel Ersson stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Cates (1 G, 1 A), 2. Trevor Zegras (1 G), 3. Sean Couturier (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Zegras1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF14114011229
PHIPHI311212012535

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Zucker(8)PPG
    J. Doan (11), J. Norris (2)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:08
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(6)PPG
    M. Michkov (7), T. Sanheim (8)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:26
  3. PHI
    T. Zegras(10)PPG
    T. Sanheim (9), T. Konecny (16)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:04
  4. PHI
    B. Brink(7)
    N. Cates (9), N. Grebenkin (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:25

2nd period

  1. PHI
    N. Cates(6)
    B. Brink (5), J. Drysdale (9)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:45
  2. BUF
    B. Byram(6)
    A. Tuch (15), J. Quinn (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:48
  3. PHI
    O. Tippett(9)
    M. Michkov (8), S. Couturier (12)
    batxG 0.41win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-5
    12:43

Penalties

BUF 25 PIM·PHI 14 PIM

1st

  • 3:20PHICam York · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:38PHIMatvei Michkov · Interferencedrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 5:30BUFTage Thompson · Hookingdrawn by Rodrigo Abols2 min
  • 6:46BUFConor Timmins · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 8:26BUFserved by J. Zucker · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:19PHIRodrigo Abols · Trippingdrawn by Bowen Byram2 min
  • 19:40BUFPeyton Krebs · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

2nd

  • 9:24PHINicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min
  • 9:24PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Josh Dunne2 min
  • 9:24BUFJosh Dunne · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 16:50BUFRasmus Dahlin · Boardingdrawn by Trevor Zegras5 min
  • 16:50BUFRasmus Dahlin · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 2:46PHITravis Sanheim · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 6:21PHIMatvei Michkov · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalBUF goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Bobby Brink, 1st 9:25 — PHI 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.41O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.38B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.28T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.22N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.21G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.19O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.18C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.17N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.17N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.16O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.16N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.14B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.13R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.13R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.11N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.10S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.10T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.09B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.07T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04C. York · On goal · xG 0.04E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.03N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.02E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.01E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.00E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 4.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsPHI
3.72 G
All situations
5 G4.8
2.41 G
Even strength
3 G3.5
1.21 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF37%63%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.68 – 4.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
35
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/6
Power play
2/5
25
Penalty minutes
14
16
Hits
18
20
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. ByramD101020.35030—23:49
25O. PowerD000+130.15100—21:34
23M. SamuelssonD000-230.13120—20:57
71R. McLeodC000000.001003620:13
89A. TuchR011+120.40040—19:31
17J. ZuckerL101-130.46200—18:12
9J. NorrisC011-220.582006917:35
72T. ThompsonC000-120.231023317:34
21C. TimminsD000-200.00052—16:56
26R. DahlinD000-110.210015—16:34
91J. DoanR011060.86000—16:32
22J. QuinnR011010.22200—15:26
6Z. BensonL000-120.09000—13:57
29B. MalenstynL000-100.00230—11:09
78J. BrysonD000000.00010—11:06
86N. OstlundC000000.000004010:34
19P. KrebsC000-110.024127809:31
44J. DunneC000010.05012007:32
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
92C. Ellis(L)35305.8574.77-0.2360:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).