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Flames at Predators
NHL

Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV FDSNSO, SNW·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 5:04 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 28, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.4 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ozzy Wiesblatt (1 G), 2. Reid Schaefer (1 G), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    O. Wiesblatt1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Schaefer1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01001018128
NSHNSH1937112528

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Schaefer(1)
    F. Svechkov (3), N. Hague (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:24

2nd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(7)
    L. Evangelista (14), R. O'Reilly (11)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:04
  2. NSH
    J. Marchessault(5)
    R. Josi (7), N. Hague (5)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:25
  3. NSH
    O. Wiesblatt(1)
    M. Bunting (9), S. Stastney (7)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    15:32

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. Bunting(6)
    A. Wilsby (3), T. Jost (3)
    backhandxG 0.17Video
    0-5
    2:59
  2. CGY
    M. Frost(7)PPG
    N. Kadri (17), J. Huberdeau (9)
    snapxG 0.20Video
    1-5
    13:39

Penalties

CGY 18 PIM·NSH 20 PIM

1st

  • 7:36NSHAdam Wilsby · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 12:03CGYserved by C. Zary · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 15:26NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Roughingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 15:26CGYJoel Farabee · Roughingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min

2nd

  • 11:06NSHNicolas Hague · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 15:39CGYBrayden Pachal · Fightingdrawn by Reid Schaefer5 min
  • 15:39NSHReid Schaefer · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Pachal5 min

3rd

  • 6:42CGYBlake Coleman · Fightingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt5 min
  • 6:42NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Fightingdrawn by Blake Coleman5 min
  • 12:30NSHNicolas Hague · Roughingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 13:55CGYBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Spencer Stastney2 min
  • 14:50NSHRoman Josi · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 15:43CGYMacKenzie Weegar · High stickingdrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCGY goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 2nd 5:04 — NSH 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.23M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.18M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.18S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.18M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.17O. Wiesblatt · Goal · xG 0.16T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.14L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.09O. Wiesblatt · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.03E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.01F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 2.6 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNSH
2.01 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.60 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY39%61%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNSH
28
Shots on goal
28
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
20
24
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
9
25
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000-310.11120—23:41
52M. WeegarD000-200.00402—22:41
37Y. KuznetsovD000-200.02100—20:28
7K. BahlD000-310.02000—20:07
11M. BacklundC000020.010305817:48
16M. FrostC101-110.290007717:47
91N. KadriC011-130.380005017:22
10J. HuberdeauL011020.35000—17:01
86J. FarabeeL000-320.0800210016:58
17Y. SharangovichC000-130.12000016:17
20B. ColemanL000050.184075015:47
44J. HanleyD000000.00310—15:09
27M. CoronatoR000030.050006714:36
94B. PachalD000010.01115—13:18
47C. ZaryC000-210.241006713:03
15D. HuntL000-220.15320—11:11
43A. KlapkaR000-210.03600—09:32
18J. BeecherC000-300.00010009:14
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(L)16124.7501.58-2.4240:00
32D. Wolf12111.9171.03+0.0320:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).