Skip to content
Flames at Predators
NHL

Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, SN1·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Wood's goal at 11:18 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.3, NSH 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 35, NSH 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 12 of 12 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Michael Bunting (1 G, 2 A), 2. Matthew Wood (1 G, 1 A), 3. Juuse Saros (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. Bunting1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    M. Wood1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01501129235
NSHNSH3110716424

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    M. Bunting(3)
    S. Stastney (4), J. Barron (4)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:29
  2. NSH
    M. Wood(2)
    M. Bunting (3), N. Blankenburg (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:18
  3. NSH
    J. Marchessault(4)PPG
    M. Bunting (4), M. Wood (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:17

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(2)
    J. Bean (1), M. Coronato (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:39
  2. CGY
    J. Farabee(2)
    N. Kadri (7)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:57
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(5)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.50win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:36

Penalties

CGY 20 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:15CGYJake Bean · Trippingdrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min
  • 13:03CGYKevin Bahl · Elbowingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min

2nd

  • 1:07CGYMorgan Frost · High stickingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 10:39CGYBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min
  • 10:39NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 10:39CGYBrayden Pachal · Misconduct10 min
  • 12:48NSHSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min
  • 17:07NSHSpencer Stastney · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

3rd

  • 16:35CGYRasmus Andersson · Trippingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCGY goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Wood, 1st 11:18 — NSH 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.50J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.17S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.14M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.13N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.11M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · Goal · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.07M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.06O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.06N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.00S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNSH
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.4
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY58%42%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNSH
35
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/4
20
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
13
16
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD000050.16102—24:47
52M. WeegarD000-120.12130—23:22
7K. BahlD000+100.03232—21:50
91N. KadriC011040.171003318:32
86J. FarabeeL101020.06110—18:26
44J. HanleyD000000.01110—18:18
20B. ColemanL000050.5311010017:57
10J. HuberdeauL101-120.25000—17:45
16M. FrostC000-100.001124517:11
11M. BacklundC000040.251105916:13
24J. BeanD011-120.05012—15:10
27M. CoronatoR011-110.04000—14:46
17Y. SharangovichC000-110.060006713:10
94B. PachalD000-110.041112—12:38
29S. HonzekL000040.2300010011:54
23J. KirklandC000000.001103811:35
43A. KlapkaR000010.17320—09:13
70R. LombergL000010.16300—08:55
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley121201.0000.94+0.9439:04
32D. Wolf(L)1183.7270.96-2.0420:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).