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Ducks at Avalanche
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸4
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 11:37 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were ANA 36, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Scott Wedgewood stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (35 saves, .972), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA11207017136
COLCOL112111213436

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(7)
    N. MacKinnon (16), C. Makar (17)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:28
  2. ANA
    L. Carlsson(11)
    J. Trouba (7), T. Terry (15)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:16

2nd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(1)
    V. Nichushkin (7), S. Malinski (7)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:37

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(10)PPG
    A. Lehkonen (10), N. MacKinnon (17)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:02
  2. COL
    P. Kelly(5)EN
    N. MacKinnon (18), B. Nelson (3)
    snapxG 0.94Video
    1-4
    17:39

Penalties

ANA 10 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:23COLArtturi Lehkonen · Hookingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 11:23ANAIan Moore · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 16:51COLJack Drury · Roughingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 16:51ANAOlen Zellweger · Roughingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

2nd

  • 7:31ANAJackson LaCombe · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Scott Wedgewood2 min

3rd

  • 5:47ANAIan Moore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:36ANAJacob Trouba · Slashingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 12:21COLMartin Necas · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalANA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 2nd 11:37 — COL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.94B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.23G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.21J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.21P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.16G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.16G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.16M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.12D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.05Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.04G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ahcan · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 4.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCOL
2.91 G
All situations
3 G4.4
2.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA40%60%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCOL
36
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000-340.23132—23:52
65J. TroubaD011030.03252—23:25
14D. HellesonD000-210.02330—20:59
91L. CarlssonC101-260.860005319:22
51O. ZellwegerD000010.01102—18:42
19T. TerryR011-240.38000—18:36
61C. GauthierL000050.40210—17:11
23M. McTavishC000-120.141003616:08
74I. MooreD000+110.00264—15:49
98P. MintyukovD000020.04000—15:49
45B. SenneckeR000000.0000010015:41
17A. KillornL000010.09200—15:26
20C. KreiderL000-330.40000—15:24
25R. PoehlingC000000.000104714:32
13N. NesterenkoC000030.27200012:37
77F. VatranoR000000.00100—11:40
24J. HarkinsC000000.006006308:52
44R. JohnstonL000000.00300—07:54
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)35323.9143.46+0.4658:46

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).