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Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, SNP·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Nashville Predators 5-4 in overtime, Brock Boeser scoring at 4:58. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canucks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Boeser's goal at 4:58 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.7, NSH 2.8; shots on goal were VAN 36, NSH 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.2 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 36 (.861), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (2 G, 1 A), 2. Evander Kane (2 G), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    E. Kane2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN1122141812536
NSHNSH1411021401429

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:47
  2. VAN
    E. Kane(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:45

2nd period

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:57
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:05
  3. NSH
    E. Haula(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:45

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:02
  2. NSH
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:52
  3. NSH
    slapxG 0.07win prob +36 ptsVideo
    4-4
    16:37

Overtime

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    4:58

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:10NSHNicolas Hague · Hookingdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min

2nd

  • 7:42VANKiefer Sherwood · Hookingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 10:51NSHOzzy Wiesblatt · Slashingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 11:56NSHNick Perbix · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 17:54VANAatu Räty · Hookingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

3rd

  • 6:14VANFilip Hronek · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 15:23VANEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Boeser, OT 4:58 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.27B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.18E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.16M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.12T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.11O. Wiesblatt · Missed · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08N. Blankenburg · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05O. Wiesblatt · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.05N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH4 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
2.75 G
All situations
4 G2.8
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.02 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN48%52%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.63 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
36
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
19
22
Blocked shots
7
21
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000+160.29020—28:04
17F. HronekD011+130.03212—25:07
29M. PetterssonD011+100.00140—23:59
40E. PetterssonC022000.000304722:44
57T. MyersD000-210.09130—22:21
44K. SherwoodL000-140.44502—21:19
74J. DeBruskL101+160.60210—21:04
6B. BoeserR213+260.541006720:15
91E. KaneL202030.18112—16:56
73L. ReichelL000+100.000204215:44
54A. RätyC000-110.201024515:02
18D. O'ConnorL000-110.03110—13:52
25E. PetterssonD011000.03100—11:43
5T. WillanderD011+100.04010—10:52
20M. MacEachernL000-110.03220—10:49
94L. KarlssonC011+120.00110010:43
63M. SassonC000+110.141004009:40
13A. BainsL011010.03200—09:19
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)29254.8622.78-1.2264:14

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).