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Canucks at Predators
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV FDSNSO, SNP·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 2-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Smith's goal at 5:09 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals were close — VAN 2.3, NSH 2.1; shots on goal were VAN 22, NSH 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Juuse Saros stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Smith (1 G), 2. Juuse Saros (21 saves, .955), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    C. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    J. Saros21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0511007122
NSHNSH012112111235

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(3)SHG
    S. Stastney (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:01
  2. VAN
    M. Sasson(3)
    L. Karlsson (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:49

3rd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(2)
    M. McCarron (2), J. Barron (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +27 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:09

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:15NSHNick Perbix · Interferencedrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 10:04VANTyler Myers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:40NSHErik Haula · High stickingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 17:48NSHLuke Evangelista · High stickingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 18:18NSHBrady Skjei · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:23VANMarcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min
  • 7:32NSHErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 10:23VANMarcus Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Smith, 3rd 5:09 — NSH 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.27M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.23F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.11R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.09M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.06F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.03F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH2 G · 2.1 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
2.31 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN55%45%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.30 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
21
20
Blocked shots
19
13
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000020.11000—29:26
17F. HronekD000010.09310—25:00
8C. GarlandR000010.19100—23:31
6B. BoeserR000050.4310010021:09
40E. PetterssonC000010.272405020:45
57T. MyersD000000.02142—20:20
91E. KaneL000-130.15100—19:29
44K. SherwoodL000-210.23400—18:16
29M. PetterssonD000-110.01014—16:25
54A. RätyC000-110.195006014:47
74J. DeBruskL000030.12100—14:21
18D. O'ConnorL000-120.25010—13:03
63M. SassonC101+110.080201712:08
25E. PetterssonD000000.00250—11:51
7P. JosephD000000.00120—10:14
94L. KarlssonC011000.18000009:51
13A. BainsL000-100.00200—08:55
88N. AmanC000+100.00100006:47
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)35332.9432.08+0.0857:42

Season series

VAN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).