Oilers at Kings 3-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Edmonton Oilers

▸3

Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Kings scored first; the Oilers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Janmark's goal at 7:12 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 46, LAK 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mattias Janmark (1 G), 2. Darcy Kuemper (43 saves, .956), 3. Evander Kane (1 G).

Three stars

★
M. Janmark1 G
★★
D. Kuemper43 saves, .956
★★★
E. Kane1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
EDM	019	114	213	346
LAK	04	18	010	122

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

A. Kuzmenko(3)PPG
A. Kopitar (7), A. Kempe (6)
tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
0-1
3:33
E. Kane(2)
J. Klingberg (2)
wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
1-1
6:16

3rd period

M. Janmark(2)
V. Arvidsson (1), V. Podkolzin (3)
wristxG 0.25win prob +30 ptsVideo
2-1
7:12
R. Nugent-Hopkins(2)EN
C. McDavid (8), L. Draisaitl (7)
wristxG 0.69win prob +3 ptsVideo
3-1
19:02

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

4:26Andrei Kuzmenko · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
8:06Mattias Janmark · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min

2nd

3:25Darnell Nurse · Trippingdrawn by Alex Turcotte2 min
4:09Drew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

8:18Darnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: LAK

Biggest swing: Mattias Janmark, 3rd 7:12 — EDM 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 1.7 xG · 36 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 5.4 xG · 63 att LAK

1 G · 1.7 xG · 36 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

5.42 G
All situations: 1 G1.7; 3.62 G
Even strength: 0 G1.1; 1.00 G
Power play: 1 G0.6; 0.10 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

89%11%

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.59 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

46
Shots on goal: 22; 41%
Faceoffs: 59%; 0/2
Power play: 1/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 46
Hits: 59; 13
Blocked shots: 15; 14
Giveaways: 21; 1
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Edmonton Oilers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
2E. BouchardD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	1	2	0	—	23:14
27B. KulakD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	1	0	—	23:14
29L. DraisaitlC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.41	2	0	0	38	23:13
97C. McDavidC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	2	0	0	33	22:48
25D. NurseD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	4	3	4	—	22:15
96J. WalmanD	0	0	0	+2	2	0.36	0	3	0	—	20:04
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC	1	0	1	+1	3	1.14	2	1	0	27	19:57
18Z. HymanL	0	0	0	+1	6	0.78	10	1	0	—	19:18
36J. KlingbergD	0	1	1	+1	5	0.06	3	0	0	—	18:36
91E. KaneL	1	0	1	+1	5	0.38	4	1	0	50	17:35
19A. HenriqueC	0	0	0	+1	4	0.40	2	1	0	77	13:16
90C. PerryR	0	0	0	0	2	0.44	2	0	0	—	13:03
28C. BrownR	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	—	12:29
13M. JanmarkC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.40	2	0	2	25	10:44
21T. FredericC	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	2	0	0	0	10:39
49T. EmbersonD	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	0	—	09:42
33V. ArvidssonL	0	1	1	+1	1	0.35	0	0	0	—	08:25
92V. PodkolzinR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	6	0	0	—	07:20

Edmonton Oilers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
30C. Pickard(W)	22	21	1	.955	1.68	+0.68	60:00

Series

EDM leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score