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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV TBS, MAX·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Quinton Byfield's goal at 4:14 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 26, LAK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.0 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G, 2 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 3 A), 3. Andrei Kuzmenko (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Kuzmenko1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0111817226
LAKLAK16215310631

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    B. Clarke(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:44

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:14
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.26win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:37
  3. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:54

3rd period

  1. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:05
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    6:46
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    9:07
  4. LAK
    snapxG 0.09
    2-6
    11:09

Penalties

EDM 20 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:55EDMEvander Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandt Clarke2 min
  • 9:50LAKKevin Fiala · High stickingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 18:10LAKQuinton Byfield · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 6:10EDMMattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Spence2 min
  • 7:13LAKAdrian Kempe · Interferencedrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
  • 9:48EDMTrent Frederic · Hookingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min

3rd

  • 7:33EDMAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 13:10EDMMattias Janmark · Slashingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 14:24EDMVasily Podkolzin · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Quinton Byfield, 2nd 4:14 — LAK 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.26A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.25Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.23A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.21A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.19B. Clarke · Goal · xG 0.18Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.17K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.17A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.12Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.00D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK6 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
1.62 G
All situations
6 G3.3
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.30 G
Power play
3 G1.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM23%77%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
26
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
3/5
20
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
10
15
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-130.08120—22:59
2E. BouchardD000-220.13000—21:42
97C. McDavidC000020.183002020:17
27B. KulakD011000.00100—19:55
29L. DraisaitlC101020.201005719:03
36J. KlingbergD011010.01030—18:48
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000010.060105018:27
18Z. HymanL000020.33310—17:13
49T. EmbersonD000030.04530—16:50
96J. WalmanD000+110.05020—15:57
19A. HenriqueC000-110.088225815:34
91E. KaneL000010.11402—14:46
28C. BrownR000-130.1010010013:17
33V. ArvidssonL101030.12100—13:04
90C. PerryR000000.08000—12:26
13M. JanmarkC000000.010044011:55
21T. FredericC000-100.00512010:12
92V. PodkolzinR011010.023010—09:23
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)28235.8213.04-1.9650:30
30C. Pickard321.6670.24-0.7609:30

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).