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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV MSG, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vincent Trocheck's goal at 3:40 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 42% to 71%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.3, FLA 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 25, FLA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 2. Juuso Parssinen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Parssinen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1827210525
FLAFLA110210010330

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:22
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.33win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:43

2nd period

  1. FLA
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:32
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov (51), S. Jones (27)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:54
  3. NYR
    K. Miller (19), W. Cuylle (24)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:55
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    17:33

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.07win prob +28 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:40
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:31

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:38NYRK'Andre Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 6:30FLARasmus Asplund · Boardingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

2nd

  • 1:39FLAGustav Forsling · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 2:44NYRMatt Rempe · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck, 3rd 3:40 — NYR 42% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.40C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.23S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.20S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.08J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.06A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.04U. Balinskis · Missed · xG 0.04A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.01U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bobrovsky · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.00U. Balinskis · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
2.35 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.94 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR46%54%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
25
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
17
10
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000+130.08000—22:18
17W. BorgenD000+210.03010—20:59
79K. MillerD022+120.04032—20:45
6Z. JonesD000030.14110—19:29
93M. ZibanejadC011000.120106718:19
16V. TrocheckC101020.140104718:01
10A. PanarinL000-100.08000—17:26
8J. MillerC112+210.190005417:17
24C. SoucyD000+120.07120—16:57
94G. PerreaultR000010.08110—16:01
29M. RobertsonD000+120.07000—15:24
20C. KreiderL022+110.11000—15:00
13A. LafrenièreL000+100.03000—14:18
22J. BrodzinskiC101020.350105014:16
50W. CuylleL011+220.0221010013:25
78B. OthmannL000-100.00200—12:34
73M. RempeC112+210.33112012:26
71J. ParssinenC112+220.491304712:21
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)30273.9002.56-0.4460:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).