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New York Rangers at Florida Panthers

FinalTV NHLN, MSGSN·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New York Rangers 5-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Boqvist's goal at 11:38 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.7 to 3.2; shots on goal were NYR 35, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.6 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Boqvist (2 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (32 saves, .914), 3. Uvis Balinskis (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    J. Boqvist2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky32 saves, .914
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    U. Balinskis2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR011211113335
FLAFLA2101828526

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:04
  2. FLA
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:21

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.30win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:25
  2. NYR
    A. Fox (27), S. Carrick (6)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:17
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:55

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:19
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-4
    11:38
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(11)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.76win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:23

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 5:21NYRserved by B. Berard · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 8:45NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 8:45NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 8:45FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 14:40FLAAleksander Barkov · Interferencedrawn by Brett Berard2 min

2nd

  • 3:44FLAserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:06NYRBrett Berard · Trippingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 17:24NYRRyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

3rd

  • 4:56FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 6:50FLAAaron Ekblad · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:10FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNYR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Jesper Boqvist, 3rd 11:38 — FLA 52% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.75J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.39S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.30J. Boqvist · Goal · xG 0.17M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.15C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.10J. Boqvist · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.09G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.04T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.04C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.04A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 3.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsFLA
3.73 G
All situations
4 G3.2
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
1.61 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR71%29%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.62 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsFLA
35
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
22
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+110.12240—26:33
16V. TrocheckC011030.523104522:57
79K. MillerD000-310.02140—21:54
10A. PanarinL011-110.36000—21:14
13A. LafrenièreL000040.24104—20:16
20C. KreiderL101-230.41400—19:58
17W. BorgenD000-210.04110—19:08
55R. LindgrenD101010.12132—17:27
91R. SmithR000-110.00010—16:50
93M. ZibanejadC000-110.250103116:25
50W. CuylleL000-250.44320—16:01
72F. ChytilC101-270.760004414:52
4B. SchneiderD000-120.06120—14:30
18U. VaakanainenD000020.01010—12:19
65B. BerardL011-310.27102—09:58
39S. CarrickC011+110.062107109:17
84A. EdstromC000000.00200007:25
26J. VeseyL000000.00000—07:05
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)25214.8402.43-1.5757:51

Season series

FLA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).