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Oilers at Jets
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 12:39 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 39, WPG 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Eric Comrie stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Henrique (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (2 A), 3. Eric Comrie (35 saves, .921).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    A. Henrique1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    E. Comrie35 saves, .921

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM010218211439
WPGWPG071506118

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. Brown(13)
    C. McDavid (72)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:59
  2. WPG
    A. Iafallo(15)PPG
    M. Scheifele (48), C. Miller (11)
    snapxG 0.38win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:16
  3. EDM
    A. Henrique(12)
    C. Perry (11), E. Bouchard (53)
    slapxG 0.62win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:39

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. Perry(18)
    D. Ryan (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:25
  2. EDM
    V. Arvidsson(15)EN
    B. Kulak (18), C. McDavid (73)
    backhandxG 0.45Video
    4-1
    18:40

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:34EDMJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 5:16EDMVasily Podkolzin · Slashingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 10:32WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalEDM goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, 2nd 12:39 — EDM 48% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.38N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.17A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.15M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.11B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02V. Heinola · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 1.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWPG
4.53 G
All situations
1 G1.9
3.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM80%20%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWPG
39
Shots on goal
18
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
19
10
Blocked shots
17
15
Giveaways
25
11
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000040.05210—24:19
2E. BouchardD011+220.14000—24:15
27B. KulakD011+230.48000—23:13
97C. McDavidC022+340.530004019:56
28C. BrownR101+130.6801010018:12
33V. ArvidssonL101+240.75000—16:54
53J. SkinnerL000+120.311025016:36
49T. EmbersonD000+210.03300—16:36
19A. HenriqueC101+230.662205815:48
13M. JanmarkC000010.010105015:34
51T. StecherD000010.05000—15:22
42K. KapanenR000010.00210—14:23
90C. PerryR112+220.30320—14:22
92V. PodkolzinR000+110.03102—14:22
85C. DineenD000+100.00100—14:09
48N. PhilpC000030.16220011:41
46M. JonesL000020.24200—11:03
10D. RyanC011+120.090005010:15
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)18171.9441.85+0.8560:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).