Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 1:13. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 1:13 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.1, EDM 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 20, EDM 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Stuart Skinner stopped 13 of 16 (.813). Three stars: 1. Jeff Skinner (2 G), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Skinner2 G

- ★★K. Connor1 G

- ★★★J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-15:28
1-113:39
2nd period
1-25:30
2-27:41
3rd period
3-23:56
3-314:26
Overtime
4-31:13
Penalties
1st
- 1:58
Cole Perfetti · High stickingdrawn by Vasily Podkolzin2 min
- 14:08
Max Jones · Roughingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
2nd
- 5:30
served by N. Niederreiter · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 19:44
Mattias Ekholm · Roughingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
3rd
- 0:42
Darnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
- 17:30
Corey Perry · Hookingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 1:13 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.14 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.1
- 2.64 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.0
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 3.01
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 23
- Hits
- 16
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 23
- Giveaways
- 14
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






