Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Blue Jackets came back from two goals down. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Aston-Reese's goal at 4:00 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 26% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were BUF 41, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. James Reimer stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Jet Greaves stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jet Greaves (39 saves, .951), 2. Boone Jenner (1 G), 3. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Greaves39 saves, .951

- ★★B. Jenner1 G

- ★★★R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-011:54
2-014:39
2-119:51
3rd period
2-24:00
2-36:42
Penalties
3rd
- 5:23
Sam Lafferty · Slashingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min
- 12:37
Denton Mateychuk · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Zachary Aston-Reese, 3rd 4:00 — 26% → 52%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.22 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.0
- 3.52 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.06 – 2.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 41
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 15
- Hits
- 25
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 16
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
