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Panthers at Red Wings
NHL

Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Florida Panthers 2-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 11:23 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 33, DET 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (32 saves, .970), 2. J.T. Compher (1 G), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    C. Talbot32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Compher1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01008115133
DETDET072908224

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(35)PPG
    L. Raymond (49), P. Kane (34)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:37
  2. DET
    J. Compher(10)
    M. Kasper (16), J. Petry (6)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:23

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(17)
    M. Samoskevich (16), C. Verhaeghe (31)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:20

Penalties

FLA 22 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:02FLABrad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min

2nd

  • 2:49FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 8:55FLANate Schmidt · Holdingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
  • 11:58DETCraig Smith · Hookingdrawn by Matt Kiersted2 min

3rd

  • 2:50FLAEvan Rodrigues · Hookingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 13:08FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 13:08DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 13:08FLAJonah Gadjovich · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 13:08FLAJonah Gadjovich · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalFLA goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 2nd 11:23 — DET 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.76J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.67P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.16T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.15L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.13D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.12J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.12D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.12E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.11P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.07M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.06P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.02S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.00
DET2 G · 3.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDET
2.21 G
All situations
2 G3.9
1.71 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA45%55%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDET
33
Shots on goal
24
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
1/5
22
Penalty minutes
4
42
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000+130.05020—24:25
15A. LundellC101050.620006020:57
77N. MikkolaD000000.00120—20:52
63B. MarchandL000020.11202—19:43
26U. BalinskisD000-110.04400—19:04
88N. SchmidtD000000.00122—18:43
23C. VerhaegheC011+170.580122518:22
17E. RodriguesC000+130.243028318:11
6J. MegnaD000-100.00000—18:01
4M. KierstedD000000.01210—15:21
27E. LuostarinenC000020.094205014:21
25M. SamoskevichR011020.08400—14:12
70J. BoqvistC000000.00300013:44
92T. NosekL000010.145005813:19
20J. PuljujarviR000050.19600—13:01
10A. GreerL000000.00202—12:19
12J. GadjovichL000010.015212—10:49
74R. AsplundC000010.040106007:11
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(L)24222.9172.43+0.4357:37

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).