Skip to content
Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Florida Panthers
2
FinalTV ESPN, SNP·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Rodrigues's goal at 8:21 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 35% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were DET 20, FLA 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Larkin (2 G, 1 A), 3. Cam Talbot (41 saves, .953).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    C. Talbot41 saves, .953

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET163915520
FLAFLA11119023243

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    J. Berggren(7)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (11), V. Tarasenko (13)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:48
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(10)
    C. Verhaeghe (22), D. Kulikov (6)
    tip-inxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:01

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(19)PPG
    P. Kane (18), A. DeBrincat (18)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:52
  2. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(9)
    M. Samoskevich (6)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:21
  3. DET
    P. Kane(11)PPG
    L. Raymond (30), M. Seider (23)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:44
  4. DET
    M. Kasper(5)
    D. Larkin (21)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:41

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(20)EN
    M. Kasper (8), L. Raymond (31)
    wristxG 0.94Video
    5-2
    18:38

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·FLA 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:32DETErik Gustafsson · Interferencedrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 7:12FLAEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min

2nd

  • 0:47FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Hookingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 7:00FLANate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 11:58FLAJesper Boqvist · Trippingdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 18:15DETAlbert Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 2:30FLAEvan Rodrigues · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 2:30DETAlex DeBrincat · Roughingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 13:21DETLucas Raymond · High stickingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Evan Rodrigues, 2nd 8:21 — FLA 35% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.21A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.21E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.21C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.20E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.17M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.05T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bjornfot · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA2 G · 3.8 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
2.44 G
All situations
2 G3.8
0.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.53 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET14%86%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.41 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
20
Shots on goal
43
34%
Faceoffs
66%
3/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
36
21
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
13
0
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011020.02740—26:38
77S. EdvinssonD000+100.00020—21:57
8B. ChiarotD000010.07320—21:11
37J. CompherL000010.070101719:09
20A. JohanssonD000-100.00222—18:02
88P. KaneR112020.33010—17:43
71D. LarkinC213+131.110004017:42
93A. DeBrincatR011020.07202—17:41
23L. RaymondL022+130.35002—16:42
11V. TarasenkoR011000.00320—16:05
18A. CoppC000020.130205015:36
48J. BerggrenR101010.09110—15:10
3J. HollD000000.02010—14:12
56E. GustafssonD011010.00012—12:19
27M. RasmussenC000-110.00100011:32
92M. KasperC112+110.08100010:49
36C. FischerR000-100.00220—10:06
90J. VelenoC000-100.00100009:26
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)43412.9533.84+1.8460:00

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).