Philadelphia Flyers at Montréal Canadiens
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The Flyers scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Flyers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lane Hutson's goal at 2:40 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 24, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Samuel Montembeault stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A), 2. Lane Hutson (1 G), 3. Jake Evans (1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-04:10
3rd period
1-11:24
1-22:40
1-310:39
2-319:20
Penalties
1st
- 5:41
Alexandre Carrier · High sticking double minordrawn by Matvei Michkov4 min
- 11:38
Cam York · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 11:05
Jakob Pelletier · Slashingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
3rd
- 9:20
Juraj Slafkovský · Boardingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
- 18:13
Mike Matheson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Lane Hutson, 3rd 2:40 — 52% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.02 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.6
- 0.91 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.96 – 3.07
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 24
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 24
- Hits
- 40
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 19
- Giveaways
- 29
- 0
- Takeaways
- 1
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
