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Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN2·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-4. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 2:15 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 8% to 23%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.8 to 3.6; shots on goal were MTL 30, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 2.1 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 26 of 30 (.867). Three stars: 1. Matvei Michkov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sean Couturier (2 G, 1 A), 3. Nicolas Deslauriers (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    M. Michkov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    N. Deslauriers1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL11008312430
PHIPHI31105314630

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:55
  2. MTL
    D. Savard (14), L. Hutson (50)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:55
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:13
  4. PHI
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:15

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:15
  2. PHI
    N. Seeler (13), B. Brink (23)
    wristxG 0.64win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:09
  3. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    11:43
  4. MTL
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    13:34
  5. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-6
    13:52
  6. MTL
    snapxG 0.31win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-6
    16:47

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 6:59PHITravis Sanheim · Hookingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 11:33MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Roughingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 11:33PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 15:33MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min
  • 18:32PHIBobby Brink · Slashingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min

3rd

  • 2:42MTLJayden Struble · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 4:14MTLJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 10:09MTLserved by B. Gallagher · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMTL goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 3rd 2:15 — MTL 8% → 23%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.90T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.63T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.30S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.21M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.16S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.15R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.11T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.11M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.10T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.09S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.09N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · Goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.05T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.05E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.05M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.04M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.03R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.02R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 4.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPHI
3.64 G
All situations
6 G4.8
2.44 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
1.20 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL45%55%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.54 – 3.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPHI
30
Shots on goal
30
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
17
18
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
48L. HutsonD022+110.22010—28:40
8M. MathesonD000+120.10100—25:45
14N. SuzukiC011+130.280006822:26
13C. CaufieldR101+110.20100—20:57
20J. SlafkovskýL011+110.14702—20:35
47J. StrubleD011-110.02122—18:57
45A. CarrierD000-120.04210—18:21
92P. LaineL101051.06100—16:54
28C. DvorakC101030.271304115:08
58D. SavardD011-120.02120—14:25
17J. AndersonR011030.71012—13:55
15A. NewhookC101-120.400006313:15
71J. EvansC000-100.001003113:10
11B. GallagherR011010.05102—12:21
40J. ArmiaR000-100.00100—12:14
72A. XhekajD000-100.00000—10:05
89J. RoyR000-110.08100—08:06
51E. HeinemanL000-120.05110—08:01
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)30246.8003.93-2.0757:11

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).