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New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Rangers 4-0. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 10:56 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 58% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were NYR 26, NJD 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.0 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (2 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (26 saves, 1.000), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Meier2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom26 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR04011011026
NJDNJD072524416

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Meier(23)PPG
    slapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:56
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt(21)SHG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:23

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:59
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.89Video
    0-4
    16:12

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:23NJDJustin Dowling · High stickingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 10:52NYRSam Carrick · Interferencedrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 11:49NJDDawson Mercer · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 11:49NJDTimo Meier · Cross checkingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 11:49NYRVincent Trocheck · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 6:22NYRWill Borgen · Hookingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 2nd 10:56 — NJD 58% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.88O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.26J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.19T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.16J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.15T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.14T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.13E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.13S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.07D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.07E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.07C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.00O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD4 G · 2.8 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNJD
2.60 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR61%39%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNJD
26
Shots on goal
16
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
21
11
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD000-120.45220—23:21
10A. PanarinL000-220.17000—20:27
23A. FoxD000-230.14000—20:27
4B. SchneiderD000000.01020—19:09
16V. TrocheckC000-200.092121519:06
8J. MillerC000-220.204009019:03
18U. VaakanainenD000010.04010—18:54
24C. SoucyD000-100.03110—17:37
13A. LafrenièreL000-130.28500—16:20
17W. BorgenD000-100.00002—16:18
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.131005516:11
22J. BrodzinskiC000-130.240005016:00
50W. CuylleL000020.34010—15:54
94G. PerreaultR000010.08000—13:48
78B. OthmannL000010.15410—13:08
39S. CarrickC000020.112125012:19
20C. KreiderL000-210.09110—10:58
65B. BerardL000010.03200—10:00
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)15123.8001.97-1.0358:56

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).