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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV MSGSN, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2 in overtime, Sam Carrick scoring at 2:48. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Carrick's goal at 2:48 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.8 to 3.3; shots on goal were NJD 23, NYR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Igor Shesterkin stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Carrick (1 G), 2. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Hughes (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    S. Carrick1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD011250601223
NYRNYR181901213332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(2)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:05

2nd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:03
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.03win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:28
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin(17)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (18), A. Fox (31)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:13

Overtime

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.10win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:48

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:01NYRAdam Fox · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 8:29NYRserved by B. Berard · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:00NJDKurtis MacDermid · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

2nd

  • 8:34NYRAlexis Lafrenière · High stickingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 15:40NJDNico Hischier · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 10:39NJDNathan Bastian · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 11:34NYRMika Zibanejad · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Carrick, OT 2:48 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.28V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.26M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.24W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.22V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.20R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.18A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.18A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.18R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.13W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.07W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Berard · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.00A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
3.82 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.90 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD59%41%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
32
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
33
15
Blocked shots
20
25
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC112+130.180101425:06
43L. HughesD000+100.00000—24:34
63J. BrattL101+240.78200—21:41
13N. HischierC000010.320123621:35
22B. PesceD011000.00060—21:28
28T. MeierR000-120.76210—21:11
8J. KovacevicD000020.14100—19:39
11S. NoesenR000010.061005019:05
71J. SiegenthalerD000020.14330—18:42
91D. MercerC000040.76100018:20
7D. HamiltonD011+120.25210—18:18
47P. CotterL000000.11310—16:38
18O. PalatL011+210.16200—14:40
37J. DowlingC000000.001002913:47
5B. DillonD000+100.00210—12:55
42C. LazarC000000.002007106:46
14N. BastianR000000.00402—06:36
23K. MacDermidL000010.13102—03:45
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(O)32293.9063.34+0.3462:48

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).