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Sabres at Wild
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV FDSNNO, MSG-B·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 0:56 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were BUF 21, MIN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.8 goals below expected; Filip Gustavsson stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 A), 2. Filip Gustavsson (20 saves, .952), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson20 saves, .952
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF080617121
MINMIN0631015421

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(22)
    Y. Trenin (8), V. Hinostroza (4)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:56
  2. MIN
    J. Brazeau(11)
    B. Gaunce (1), M. Boldy (36)
    deflectedxG 0.72win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:07
  3. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(17)
    M. Boldy (37), Z. Bogosian (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    8:11

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Peterka(21)
    O. Power (29), R. Dahlin (41)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    6:48
  2. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(16)EN
    M. Zuccarello (27), J. Brodin (15)
    wristxG 0.49Video
    1-4
    19:27

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:08MINJonas Brodin · High stickingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 8:29BUFTage Thompson · Hookingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min

2nd

  • 16:23BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

3rd

  • 2:18MINDevin Shore · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 5:19MINMarcus Johansson · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker2 min
  • 5:19BUFJacob Bernard-Docker · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalBUF goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, 2nd 0:56 — MIN 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Brazeau · Goal · xG 0.73F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.49M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.15Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.10V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.09F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gaunce · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.7 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsMIN
1.91 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF42%58%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsMIN
21
Shots on goal
21
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
18
18
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD011-140.11122—24:37
77J. PeterkaR101-210.11000—23:41
71R. McLeodC000-310.290006122:42
72T. ThompsonC000-230.280022521:08
25O. PowerD011030.09000—20:46
4B. ByramD000-230.19120—20:03
89A. TuchR000-210.202305019:40
17J. ZuckerL000010.21200—16:44
12J. GreenwayL000010.074102516:26
23M. SamuelssonD000000.00100—16:01
19P. KrebsC000000.001005015:17
29B. MalenstynL000-120.17320—12:56
75C. CliftonD000-100.00010—12:51
78J. BrysonD000-200.00210—12:09
24J. Bernard-DockerD000000.00002—11:29
48T. KozakC000-100.121003311:07
9Z. BensonL000000.01000—10:52
81S. LaffertyC000010.012004007:33
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)20173.8502.23-0.7757:58

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).