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Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Philip Broberg scoring at 3:42. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Philip Broberg's goal at 3:42 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 1.2; shots on goal were VAN 18, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.8 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Tucker (1 G, 1 A), 2. Philip Broberg (1 G), 3. Brock Boeser (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    T. Tucker1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Broberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN03093501318
STLSTL012192513429

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +21 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:47

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:11
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:35
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.02win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:28
  4. STL
    snapxG 0.22win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:52
  5. VAN
    slapxG 0.07win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:56

Overtime

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:42

Penalties

VAN 2 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:36STLJustin Faulk · Interferencedrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 12:55VANFilip Hronek · Interferencedrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVAN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Philip Broberg, OT 3:42 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.49D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.22P. Broberg · Goal · xG 0.19J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.17R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.14J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.13A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.09R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.09J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.08R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.04P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tucker · Goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.01P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.7 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSTL
1.23 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN28%72%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.16 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSTL
18
Shots on goal
29
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
41
17
Blocked shots
23
14
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD011-210.26010—30:18
17F. HronekD011+210.03022—27:14
57T. MyersD000-220.11150—21:37
40E. PetterssonC022+100.073204520:32
6B. BoeserR202040.12000—19:56
29M. PetterssonD011+120.04020—19:44
74J. DeBruskL000-110.05100—19:06
24P. SuterC000-210.030001518:44
21N. HoglanderL011+100.00100—16:57
44K. SherwoodL101-110.07100010015:58
8C. GarlandR000+110.04000—15:52
27D. ForbortD000000.01110—14:08
18D. O'ConnorL000000.011206713:37
81D. JoshuaC000010.05510012:41
53T. BluegerC000020.163101712:22
88N. AmanC000000.101005010:58
94L. KarlssonC000000.00100010:26
25E. PetterssonD000010.01100—10:21
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(O)29254.8622.23-1.7762:17

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).