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St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV FDSNMW, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Dylan Holloway scoring at 1:40. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 1:40 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.7, VAN 2.9; shots on goal were STL 25, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Thatcher Demko stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Conor Garland (2 A), 3. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    C. Garland2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    D. Holloway1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL271110512425
VANVAN18191800325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:02
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:15
  3. STL
    R. Thomas(5)SHG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:30

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:18
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:32

3rd period

  1. VAN
    snapxG 0.21win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:08

Overtime

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:40

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:59STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 13:01VANCarson Soucy · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 15:43VANBrock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 17:20STLBrayden Schenn · Holdingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min

3rd

  • 6:59STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 19:00STLOskar Sundqvist · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 19:00VANKiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalSTL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Holloway, OT 1:40 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.30B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.27D. Joshua · Goal · xG 0.22J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.21M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.18E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.16T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.09T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 2.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVAN
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.51 G
Power play
1 G1.8
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL48%52%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVAN
25
Shots on goal
25
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
30
18
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011020.05000—24:43
55C. ParaykoD011010.00120—24:04
6P. BrobergD000020.13210—23:25
22R. SuterD000-100.08020—22:09
18R. ThomasC123+210.190006319:35
89P. BuchnevichL011+130.4320010018:33
81D. HollowayL112+250.54240—17:04
63J. NeighboursL000-210.02200—17:01
10B. SchennC000-200.181125316:57
25J. KyrouR101040.40100—16:19
70O. SundqvistC000+110.071264014:21
20B. SaadL000-210.20010—13:18
51M. KesselD000+110.07100—13:05
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00100—12:45
12R. FaksaC000000.060105812:41
77P. JosephD000+110.05010—11:52
76Z. BolducR101+120.21020—11:09
26N. WalkerL000000.00110—09:47
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)25223.8802.88-0.1261:40

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).