St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in overtime, Dylan Holloway scoring at 1:40. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 1:40 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.7, VAN 2.9; shots on goal were STL 25, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 22 of 25 (.880); Thatcher Demko stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Conor Garland (2 A), 3. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★R. Thomas1 G, 2 A

- ★★C. Garland2 A

- ★★★D. Holloway1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-18:02
1-19:15
2-117:30
2nd period
3-116:18
3-218:32
3rd period
3-318:08
Overtime
4-31:40
Penalties
1st
- 16:59
Oskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
2nd
- 13:01
Carson Soucy · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
- 15:43
Brock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
- 17:20
Brayden Schenn · Holdingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
3rd
- 6:59
Oskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
- 19:00
Oskar Sundqvist · Roughingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
- 19:00
Kiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Dylan Holloway, OT 1:40 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.74 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.1
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.8
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.80
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 25
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 15
- Hits
- 30
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 17
- Giveaways
- 15
- 11
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 2-1
4@
3OTthis game
5@
2Final
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
