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Utah Hockey Club at Oilers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ESPN, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 7-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 12:28 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 50% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.4 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 30, EDM 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jaxson Stauber stopped 24 of 28 (.857); Calvin Pickard stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A), 2. Zach Hyman (2 G, 1 A), 3. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0919012130
EDMEDM315216212743

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:28
  2. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:14
  3. EDM
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    19:56

2nd period

  1. EDM
    deflectedxG 0.33win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    7:41
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    9:53
  3. UTA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    16:26

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.18win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    0:33
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.14Video
    1-7
    2:36

Penalties

UTA 11 PIM·EDM 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:02EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min
  • 13:11UTAJack McBain · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 17:24EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 19:32EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min
  • 19:32UTAJack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min

2nd

  • 11:11UTAIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 14:22EDMJake Walman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:50UTAIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalUTA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 1st 12:28 — EDM 50% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.34Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.33K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.32M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.29C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.23L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.20A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.19M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.18Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.14D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.04D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM7 G · 5.4 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsEDM
2.31 G
All situations
7 G5.4
2.01 G
Even strength
6 G4.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA12%88%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 5.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsEDM
30
Shots on goal
43
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
22
Hits
18
13
Blocked shots
22
17
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-230.05100—24:28
50S. DurziD101010.04030—20:53
6J. MarinoD000-310.09010—20:31
28I. ColeD000-300.00614—17:39
9C. KellerR000-220.13000—17:16
8N. SchmaltzC000-320.360006717:14
15A. KerfootC000-300.002106717:05
7M. KesselringD000-140.15100—17:03
92L. CooleyC011-230.112006016:26
27B. HaytonC000-310.001104316:21
67L. CrouseL000+120.14400—16:14
11D. GuentherR000-230.32110—14:58
2O. MaattaD000-310.06010—14:58
22J. McBainC000020.162175014:49
91J. DoanR000-110.17100—13:28
82K. StenlundC000-210.050305713:04
53M. CarconeL011010.22000—11:32
17N. BjugstadC000-120.23100010:01
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33J. Stauber28244.8574.16+0.1640:00
70K. Vejmelka(L)15123.8001.29-1.7120:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).