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Utah Hockey Club at Oilers
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV Utah16, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 4:53 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were UTA 27, EDM 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jaxson Stauber stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Stuart Skinner stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Brown (2 A), 2. Stuart Skinner (26 saves, .963), 3. Mattias Ekholm (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. Brown2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    M. Ekholm1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA11106010127
EDMEDM11521716438

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm(6)
    V. Podkolzin (10), E. Bouchard (21)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:26
  2. UTA
    J. McBain(10)
    D. Guenther (17), L. Cooley (24)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:00

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(8)
    C. McDavid (38), C. Brown (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:53
  2. EDM
    T. Stecher(3)
    C. Brown (12), C. McDavid (39)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:13

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(27)EN
    T. Emberson (5), M. Ekholm (11)
    wristxG 0.90Video
    1-4
    18:58

Penalties

UTA 8 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

2nd

  • 8:25UTAJack McBain · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 11:41EDMTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 20:00UTALiam O'Brien · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 20:00EDMJeff Skinner · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min

3rd

  • 6:34EDMZach Hyman · Holding the stickdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 9:19UTAIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 19:41UTAMichael Carcone · Trippingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalUTA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 2nd 4:53 — EDM 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.90V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.24A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.20C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.17M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.10M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stecher · Goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 3.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsEDM
2.31 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA37%63%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsEDM
27
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
4
14
Blocked shots
12
26
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-220.17020—24:08
2O. MaattaD000-100.02110—22:10
28I. ColeD000010.03042—22:04
7M. KesselringD000030.07000—20:12
8N. SchmaltzC000-210.05000018:41
92L. CooleyC011-120.240003318:40
27B. HaytonC000-200.000206218:20
15A. KerfootC000-220.07010017:19
11D. GuentherR011-120.16100—16:46
4J. VälimäkiD000-120.02020—15:50
67L. CrouseL000000.03200—15:11
82K. StenlundC000-110.090003813:51
22J. McBainC101020.352025013:50
63M. MaccelliL000-130.27000—13:36
17N. BjugstadC000020.280106013:29
53M. CarconeL000-120.12202—11:27
52V. KolyachonokD000-100.00110—10:18
38L. O'BrienC000020.35602009:13
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33J. Stauber(L)37343.9193.04+0.0458:36

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).