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Flames at Maple Leafs
NHL

Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
FinalTV Prime·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Calgary Flames 6-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Robertson's goal at 9:34 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were CGY 26, TOR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.2 goals below expected; Joseph Woll stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (2 G, 1 A), 2. William Nylander (1 G, 2 A), 3. Max Domi (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Domi1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1607113226
TORTOR11441213629

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Domi(6)
    S. Benoit (6), O. Ekman-Larsson (23)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:47
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(9)
    J. Huberdeau (25), M. Pospisil (18)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:13

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(38)PPG
    M. Marner (60), A. Matthews (34)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:39
  2. TOR
    N. Robertson(12)
    M. Domi (22), O. Ekman-Larsson (24)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:34
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(25)PPG
    W. Nylander (32), M. Marner (61)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:41
  4. TOR
    A. Matthews(26)PPG
    M. Knies (20), W. Nylander (33)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    18:54

3rd period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(18)
    M. Rielly (27), C. Jarnkrok (2)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    1-6
    3:03
  2. CGY
    K. Bahl(3)
    D. Hunt (1), Y. Sharangovich (12)
    wristxG 0.02Video
    2-6
    19:12

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·TOR 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:44TORSimon Benoit · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 9:10TORNick Robertson · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

2nd

  • 0:09CGYNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 1:53TORNick Robertson · High stickingdrawn by Joel Hanley2 min
  • 14:46CGYserved by M. Coronato · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:09CGYBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

3rd

  • 12:47TORSimon Benoit · Roughingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 12:47TORSimon Benoit · Cross checkingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 12:47CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Simon Benoit2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalCGY goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Robertson, 2nd 9:34 — TOR 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.36J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.23N. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.20W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.17A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.16M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.11W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.11P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.08N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.07B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.03A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR6 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsTOR
2.02 G
All situations
6 G3.0
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
3 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY34%66%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsTOR
26
Shots on goal
29
29%
Faceoffs
71%
0/4
Power play
3/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
31
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
23
9
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000020.05222—22:32
4R. AnderssonD101+130.16230—20:44
27M. CoronatoR000-120.17010—19:40
7K. BahlD101+130.06300—19:32
44J. HanleyD000010.05300—18:07
91N. KadriC000+110.230022118:06
16M. FrostC000-110.171104218:01
10J. HuberdeauL011000.03000—17:56
86J. FarabeeL000020.27210—17:28
20B. ColemanL000010.14100—17:00
24J. BeanD000-200.05100—16:01
17Y. SharangovichC011-130.100103015:48
94B. PachalD000-210.01102—15:09
76M. PospisilC011+110.1640010012:34
15D. HuntL011010.06200—12:32
21K. RooneyC000020.064002512:27
43A. KlapkaR000-110.18510—12:06
70R. LombergL000-110.01000—11:07
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)26215.8082.76-2.2440:00
80D. Vladar321.6670.19-0.8120:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).