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Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 15:46 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 30, PHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Jankowski (2 G), 2. Pyotr Kochetkov (26 saves, 1.000), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Jankowski2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov26 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR21121019530
PHIPHI01201004026

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(25)
    J. Blake (12), S. Jarvis (25)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:21
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:46

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(12)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:19
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    13:15

3rd period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.20Video
    5-0
    19:28

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:21PHIserved by M. Michkov · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 11:40PHIMatvei Michkov · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

2nd

  • 0:10PHIRyan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 16:51CARMark Jankowski · Roughingdrawn by Rodrigo Abols2 min

3rd

  • 9:55PHINoah Cates · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 14:01CARJackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Pelletier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 1st 15:46 — CAR 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.17B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.14R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.13T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.09M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.08M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pelletier · Missed · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pelletier · Missed · xG 0.03N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.03E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.00E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI0 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
3.15 G
All situations
0 G1.9
2.24 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR70%30%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
30
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
9
Hits
26
15
Blocked shots
31
15
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26S. WalkerD000+130.11240—21:45
8B. BurnsD000+100.02000—21:15
5J. ChatfieldD000030.13020—19:02
20S. AhoC112+120.380008518:54
4S. GostisbehereD022+310.15040—18:53
74J. SlavinD000+110.05010—18:46
24S. JarvisR011+120.0301010018:18
53J. BlakeR011+110.11112—17:22
56S. MorrowD101+220.23000—16:14
82J. KotkaniemiC000+100.001006016:01
22L. StankovenC011+230.37000015:48
71T. HallL112+130.42010—15:20
50E. RobinsonL022+220.12000—14:51
11J. StaalC000010.051002214:27
48J. MartinookL000020.25210—14:15
96J. RoslovicC000020.280003312:48
27T. JostC011+100.002005011:18
77M. JankowskiL202+220.370024410:43
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)262601.0001.91+1.9160:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).