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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
4
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV FDSNSO, NBCSP·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 19:29 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 16, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Aleksei Kolosov stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 0.9 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 3. Brent Burns (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    B. Burns2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1101323416
CARCAR18213314635

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(6)PPG
    O. Tippett (6), M. Michkov (6)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:54
  2. CAR
    J. Blake(4)
    J. Drury (3), D. Orlov (4)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:25

2nd period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(2)
    M. Necas (13), B. Burns (4)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:56
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(1)
    J. Slavin (4), B. Burns (5)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:50
  3. PHI
    O. Tippett(2)
    T. Konecny (6), S. Couturier (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:30

3rd period

  1. PHI
    M. Frost(1)
    T. Sanheim (3), T. Konecny (7)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:18
  2. CAR
    J. Roslovic(7)
    A. Svechnikov (7), S. Aho (7)
    snapxG 0.34win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:47
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(7)
    S. Couturier (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +30 ptsVideo
    4-4
    9:17
  4. CAR
    M. Necas(7)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.30win prob +47 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:29
  5. CAR
    S. Jarvis(4)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.46win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-6
    19:58

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:15CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 7:08CARJordan Staal · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Drysdale2 min

2nd

  • 16:06PHISean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

3rd

  • 13:41CARWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 13:58PHIEmil Andrae · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 3rd 19:29 — CAR 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.46J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.34M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.30S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.27S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.24J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.19J. Blake · Goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.16J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.15M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.14J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.08E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.08J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.6 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
1.94 G
All situations
5 G4.6
1.53 G
Even strength
5 G3.7
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI19%81%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
16
Shots on goal
35
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
13
20
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
5
12
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011-100.00430—25:10
55R. RistolainenD000-200.00210—24:44
9J. DrysdaleD000000.00020—23:59
11T. KonecnyR224020.36020—22:11
14S. CouturierC022-110.040125720:11
24N. SeelerD000+100.00510—18:16
74O. TippettR112060.51100—18:07
71T. FoersterR000-210.12030—16:08
21S. LaughtonC000-200.081006716:00
86J. FarabeeL000-100.00000—15:27
36E. AndraeD000-210.11002—14:09
39M. MichkovR011010.0401010013:57
48M. FrostC101-110.300105513:34
10B. BrinkR000-300.00030—13:09
27N. CatesL000000.001105012:50
19G. HathawayR000010.1701010011:12
5E. ZamulaD000-200.00000—10:58
44N. DeslauriersL000020.2140010007:04
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Kolosov(L)34295.8534.10-0.9058:54

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).