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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNDET·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Roslovic's goal at 5:44 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were DET 26, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.5 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (2 A), 3. Jalen Chatfield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Roslovic1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1606114226
CARCAR09312111432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(31)
    B. Chiarot (7)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:07

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Hall(11)
    J. Kotkaniemi (18), J. Roslovic (12)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:22
  2. CAR
    J. Roslovic(21)
    J. Kotkaniemi (19), S. Morrow (2)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:44
  3. CAR
    J. Chatfield(6)
    S. Walker (10), S. Jarvis (24)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:18

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(10)
    T. Motte (4)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:53
  2. CAR
    E. Robinson(13)EN
    B. Burns (18)
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:49

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:30DETSimon Edvinsson · Hookingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

2nd

  • 16:22CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · High stickingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

3rd

  • 4:09DETBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 16:00CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Roslovic, 2nd 5:44 — CAR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.35J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.21J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.18J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.14S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.09T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.09E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.07T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.06J. Chatfield · Goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.04S. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
2.42 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET48%52%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
32
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
5
27
Blocked shots
15
17
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000020.00230—26:30
8B. ChiarotD011-200.00242—22:09
71D. LarkinC000-110.320003920:43
88P. KaneR000-140.24010—20:12
23L. RaymondL000-110.26120—19:41
93A. DeBrincatR101-140.26010—19:28
77S. EdvinssonD000-200.02132—18:21
92M. KasperC000020.080203617:27
56E. GustafssonD000010.11200—17:06
20A. JohanssonD000000.02220—16:45
85E. SoderblomL000010.11100—16:05
3J. HollD000000.00110—15:57
37J. CompherL000-200.001202515:22
11V. TarasenkoR000-230.16110—12:16
27M. RasmussenC101+150.612204011:57
15C. SmithC000-210.20410010:08
14T. MotteC011+100.00220009:32
50D. ShineR000+110.01000—07:24
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
43P. Mrazek(L)31283.9032.47-0.5358:57

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).