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Hurricanes at Red Wings
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNSO, FDSNDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Staal's goal at 1:29 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were CAR 30, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Staal (1 G), 3. Elmer Soderblom (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    E. Soderblom1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11011307230
DETDET0100817125

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:59

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:29

3rd period

  1. DET
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:05

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:56CARAndrei Svechnikov · Boardingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
  • 11:13DETPatrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

2nd

  • 3:20CAREric Robinson · Cross checkingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 3:27DETLucas Raymond · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

3rd

  • 10:29CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 15:22DETErik Gustafsson · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Taylor Hall0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCAR goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Staal, 2nd 1:29 — CAR 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.36D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.32V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.19A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.17M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.14E. Soderblom · Goal · xG 0.13J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.12E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.09L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.03P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.03J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.02A. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.00M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsDET
3.22 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR58%42%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsDET
30
Shots on goal
25
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
33
11
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000000.06020—23:24
8B. BurnsD000010.02010—21:50
24S. JarvisR000020.54100—19:56
20S. AhoC000020.162005619:45
7D. OrlovD000000.00120—19:41
5J. ChatfieldD011020.04210—19:33
96M. RantanenR000020.23110—17:50
26S. WalkerD000+110.11400—16:50
4S. GostisbehereD011+130.10110—16:47
11J. StaalC101+120.172005315:56
48J. MartinookL112+110.1200010015:51
53J. BlakeR000040.35000—15:44
82J. KotkaniemiC000000.042208815:24
37A. SvechnikovR000+120.09414—14:50
71T. HallL000040.36000—14:07
98J. RoslovicC000010.590005009:23
50E. RobinsonL000010.18302—09:10
27T. JostC000020.04000007:59
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)25241.9602.75+1.7560:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).