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Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV Victory+, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Granlund's goal at 19:34 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 19, VAN 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Duchene (2 A), 2. Thomas Harley (1 G), 3. Derek Forbort (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Duchene2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Harley1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    D. Forbort1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL072725419
VANVAN0617010123

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:17
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:35
  3. DAL
    C. Ceci (16), M. Duchene (40)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:34

3rd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    8:26
  2. DAL
    C. Ceci (17)
    wristxG 0.56win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:52

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·VAN 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:00VANDrew O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 14:41DALMavrik Bourque · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Lekkerimäki2 min
  • 17:24DALMikko Rantanen · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 17:24VANDakota Joshua · Roughingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 17:24VANMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

2nd

  • 17:26VANTyler Myers · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

3rd

  • 2:45DALLian Bichsel · Interferencedrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 10:32VANTyler Myers · Holdingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalDAL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Mikael Granlund, 2nd 19:34 — DAL 49% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.42T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.22T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.21D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.15F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.13P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.12F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.11D. Forbort · Goal · xG 0.11F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.10P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.10D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.09T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.08T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.03C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.01F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.01T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.00T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN1 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsVAN
2.33 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.03 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL28%72%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsVAN
19
Shots on goal
23
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
36
15
Blocked shots
12
22
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD101+130.08000—21:32
44C. CeciD022+220.01040—20:38
23E. LindellD000+200.01040—20:31
21J. RobertsonL101+110.17220—19:44
96M. RantanenR101+120.680023319:04
53W. JohnstonC000000.000004518:51
3M. DumbaD000000.00100—17:57
64M. GranlundC101+220.5611010017:02
95M. DucheneC022+220.100002316:29
46I. LyubushkinD011+110.02100—15:57
27M. MarchmentL000+120.290105015:55
6L. BichselD000010.16112—15:43
18S. SteelC000000.000007114:08
22M. BourqueC000+100.071024313:36
14J. BennL000010.143205012:57
63E. DadonovL011+110.01000—12:43
15C. BlackwellC000000.001003311:39
10O. BäckC000010.03100011:34
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)23221.9572.75+1.7560:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).