Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 16:29 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 57% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were VAN 29, DAL 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 11 of 14 (.786), 0.9 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (26 saves, .897), 2. Roope Hintz (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jason Robertson (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Oettinger26 saves, .897

- ★★R. Hintz2 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Robertson2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-19:12
2nd period
1-15:08
1-216:29
3rd period
1-34:04
1-416:33
2-417:51
2-519:07
3-519:56
Penalties
1st
- 11:21
Mathew Dumba · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
2nd
- 7:58
Kyle Capobianco · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
- 11:14
Kyle Capobianco · Interferencedrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
- 15:38
Derek Forbort · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min
3rd
- 8:33
Tyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
- 10:45
Lian Bichsel · High stickingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
- 16:25
Brendan Smith · Slashingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 16:29 — 57% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.43 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.1
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.3
- 1.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.10
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 16
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 30
- Hits
- 24
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 12
- Giveaways
- 15
- 1
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
DAL leads 2-1
3@
5this game
4@
1Final
6@
5OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
