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San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ESPN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 7-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fabian Zetterlund's goal at 10:08 of the first period, which took the Sharks' chances from 20% to 33%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were SJS 34, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 32 (.781), 2.3 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Cale Makar (2 G, 4 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 3 A), 3. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    C. Makar2 G, 4 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS1906219334
COLCOL31321326732

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:19
  2. COL
    C. Makar(23)PPG
    slapxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:43
  3. SJS
    snapxG 0.29win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:08
  4. COL
    J. Drouin(8)PPG
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:57

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(21)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    0:40
  2. COL
    C. Makar (49), J. Manson (13)
    snapxG 0.48win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    10:54

3rd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.43Video
    1-6
    5:21
  2. SJS
    W. Smith (20), W. Eklund (34)
    snapxG 0.14Video
    2-6
    8:10
  3. COL
    wristxG 0.04Video
    2-7
    9:00
  4. SJS
    snapxG 0.25Video
    3-7
    17:24

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:26COLMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min
  • 5:30SJSTy Dellandrea · Slashingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 8:27COLDevon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 15:39COLJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 18:38SJSTy Dellandrea · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

2nd

  • 0:37SJSMario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 8:27SJSMacklin Celebrini · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 11:31COLJosh Manson · Holdingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

3rd

  • 6:13COLKeaton Middleton · Holdingdrawn by Nikolai Kovalenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSJS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Fabian Zetterlund, 1st 10:08 — SJS 20% → 33%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.48N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.43N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.26C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.25A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.20R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.17R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.16M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.16C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.14J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.14C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.11V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.11R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.10M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.08L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 4.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCOL
2.83 G
All situations
7 G4.7
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G3.6
1.72 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS23%77%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 4.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCOL
34
Shots on goal
32
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/5
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
11
13
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
37T. LiljegrenD000-110.00020—20:30
85S. MukhamadullinD000-110.01200—20:25
38M. FerraroD000-110.01132—20:22
2W. SmithC011-220.01000019:50
71M. CelebriniC101-350.510025019:23
20F. ZetterlundL101-170.824105018:57
51C. GrafR011-110.0902010018:42
21A. WennbergC011-100.000103518:03
72W. EklundL112050.47100—17:26
44M. VlasicD000-100.00010—15:48
73T. ToffoliC011030.1900010015:00
26J. ThompsonD000010.02010—14:53
59J. SchuldtD000030.05100—14:15
10K. KostinC000030.213105013:43
23B. GoodrowC000-200.152004212:32
53T. DellandreaC000000.003144312:27
15N. KovalenkoR000000.24100—12:19
91C. GrundstromR000-110.06200—11:05
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)32257.7814.68-2.3259:45

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).