Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ross Colton's goal at 16:37 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were COL 22, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 18 of 21 (.857). Three stars: 1. Ross Colton (2 G), 2. Cale Makar (1 G, 2 A), 3. William Eklund (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-06:23
2-016:37
2-118:25
3rd period
3-19:57
4-118:23
Penalties
1st
- 6:00
served by Will Smith · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 7:38
Mikael Granlund · Hookingdrawn by Nikolai Kovalenko2 min
- 18:07
Josh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
- 18:07
Josh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
- 18:07
Luke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
2nd
- 2:09
Jan Rutta · Trippingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
- 3:29
Mikael Granlund · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
- 7:13
Logan O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
- 7:13
Henry Thrun · Fightingdrawn by Logan O'Connor5 min
- 7:13
Logan O'Connor · Fightingdrawn by Henry Thrun5 min
- 11:30
Miles Wood · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
- 12:20
Calvin de Haan · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
- 15:17
Josh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ross Colton, 1st 16:37 — 61% → 77%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.33 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.0
- 1.82 G
- Even strength
- 0 G0.8
- 1.01 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 1.94
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 51%
- Faceoffs
- 49%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 1/5
- 17
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 19
- Hits
- 26
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 19
- Giveaways
- 16
- 0
- Takeaways
- 0
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
