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Maple Leafs at Penguins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸6
Pittsburgh Penguins
5
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-5 in overtime, William Nylander scoring at 1:00. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Maple Leafs led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 1:00 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — TOR 2.6, PIT 2.5; shots on goal were TOR 33, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.5 goals below expected; Joel Blomqvist stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 2. Rickard Rakell (2 G), 3. Matthew Knies (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR2133110811633
PITPIT3171111600534

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Domi(4)
    B. McMann (10), N. Robertson (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:15
  2. TOR
    C. Timmins(2)
    P. Holmberg (8), W. Nylander (26)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:39
  3. PIT
    C. Glass(4)
    R. Shea (3), B. Lizotte (5)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:27
  4. PIT
    R. Rakell(27)
    M. Grzelcyk (29), S. Crosby (45)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:29
  5. PIT
    S. Crosby(19)PPG
    E. Karlsson (36), B. Rust (24)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:51

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(22)
    M. Knies (17), M. Marner (57)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:08
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(21)
    S. Crosby (46), E. Karlsson (37)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-4
    15:38
  3. TOR
    J. Tavares(23)
    J. McCabe (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +23 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:04
  4. TOR
    M. Knies(23)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +24 ptsVideo
    5-4
    19:59

3rd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(28)
    B. Rust (25), K. Letang (16)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +24 ptsVideo
    5-5
    0:10

Overtime

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(35)
    M. Rielly (25), A. Matthews (29)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +51 ptsVideo
    6-5
    1:00

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:08TORMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 15:45TORMax Domi · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

2nd

  • 8:01PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalTOR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, OT 1:00 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.23P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.22S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.19K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.16N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.12B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.08D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.00B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 2.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPIT
2.66 G
All situations
5 G2.5
2.26 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR53%47%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.61 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPIT
33
Shots on goal
34
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
13
19
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
21
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD011+100.00120—22:30
44M. RiellyD011-210.10020—21:55
34A. MatthewsC112060.420105021:14
51P. MyersD000+150.05410—20:21
16M. MarnerR011000.1810010020:07
88W. NylanderR112+120.21000—18:48
23M. KniesL112-140.32120—18:32
91J. TavaresC101+150.570106918:22
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000-220.07210—18:20
2S. BenoitD000+330.04320—18:06
29P. HolmbergR011+110.07130—17:24
25C. TimminsD101+220.05200—17:12
74B. McMannC011+100.19300013:50
89N. RobertsonL011+100.23100—12:25
11M. DomiC101+120.130147512:18
64D. KampfC000000.000302010:48
75R. ReavesR000000.00200—09:35
24C. DewarC000000.00200008:30
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)34295.8532.54-2.4661:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).