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Penguins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The Penguins scored first; the Maple Leafs answered. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Knies's goal at 2:53 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were PIT 23, TOR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Joel Blomqvist stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matthew Knies (1 G), 3. William Nylander (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Knies1 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1601017223
TORTOR010213210433

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(1)PPG
    S. Crosby (3), E. Malkin (3)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    10:58

2nd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(1)
    M. Domi (2)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:50
  2. TOR
    M. Knies(1)
    M. Rielly (1), M. Marner (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:53

3rd period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(1)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:12
  2. PIT
    R. Rakell(1)
    E. Malkin (4)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    12:29
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(2)EN
    M. Domi (3)
    snapxG 0.90win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:38

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:04TORSimon Benoit · Trippingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:23TORBobby McMann · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Joel Blomqvist2 min
  • 14:24TORMax Pacioretty · Hookingdrawn by Jack St. Ivany2 min
  • 17:23PITJack St. Ivany · Interferencedrawn by Nick Robertson2 min
  • 19:57PITBryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Chris Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 4:44TORSimon Benoit · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 14:26PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Robertson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalPIT goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Knies, 2nd 2:53 — TOR 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.90A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.26W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.20P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.16D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.16M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.11M. Knies · Goal · xG 0.11O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.06N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 3.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTOR
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT42%58%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.95 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTOR
23
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
17
12
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD101-220.11210—23:49
24M. GrzelcykD000-110.03020—21:58
65E. KarlssonD000-220.28010—21:39
87S. CrosbyC011-230.392104221:00
17B. RustR000-220.33202—20:07
71E. MalkinC022-110.070003818:50
28M. PetterssonD000-210.03102—18:03
3J. St. IvanyD000000.02212—17:18
27R. GravesD000+100.00010—15:24
20L. EllerC000030.201006215:01
8M. BuntingL000020.03010—14:06
67R. RakellR101-120.09000—13:38
72A. BeauvillierR000-110.10000—13:38
10D. O'ConnorL000020.26010—13:18
55N. AcciariC000-100.002103313:15
19C. GlassC000-110.05000012:24
2R. McGroartyR000000.00200—12:19
13K. HayesR000-100.0000010009:22
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Blomqvist(L)32293.9062.37-0.6358:51

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).