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Calgary Flames at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MNMT, SNW·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Coronato's goal at 16:42 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.3, WSH 2.3; shots on goal were CGY 25, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Coronato (1 G), 2. Dan Vladar (26 saves, .963), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Vladar26 saves, .963
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2140318325
WSHWSH05012110127

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:47
  2. CGY
    K. Bahl (13)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:42

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:52
  2. CGY
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:32

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

2nd

  • 1:11CGYMatt Coronato · Slashingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 8:42CGYKevin Rooney · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 17:01WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 17:01CGYBrayden Pachal · Slashingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 17:01WSHConnor McMichael · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min

3rd

  • 4:32CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Slashingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 6:21WSHMatt Roy · Trippingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCGY goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Coronato, 1st 16:42 — CGY 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.13C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.13P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.13T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.11A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.06A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.00D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 2.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWSH
2.33 G
All situations
1 G2.3
2.13 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY50%50%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWSH
25
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
20
29
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000+130.11250—25:33
4R. AnderssonD000+110.35080—23:31
7K. BahlD011+100.00030—23:01
44J. HanleyD000+120.03210—19:41
11M. BacklundC000020.040106518:58
20B. ColemanL000020.18510—18:57
91N. KadriC011+130.320104418:12
27M. CoronatoR101+210.17222—17:59
10J. HuberdeauL101+120.16012—17:40
17Y. SharangovichC000010.01000014:37
47C. ZaryC000000.0001010014:04
86J. FarabeeL000010.12010—13:24
16M. FrostC000020.470203613:08
94B. PachalD000+100.00212—12:22
76M. PospisilC101+110.1670010012:03
98I. SolovyovD011+100.00400—11:51
70R. LombergL011+220.09000—10:29
21K. RooneyC000+220.163123310:10
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)27261.9632.34+1.3460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).