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Washington Capitals at Calgary Flames

FinalTV MNMT, TVAS·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 15:12 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were WSH 23, CGY 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 20 of 23 (.870). Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (32 saves, .970), 2. Dylan Strome (1 G), 3. Tyson Barrie (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    T. Barrie1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1511216323
CGYCGY01319011133

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:51

2nd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:17
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(13)PPG
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:12

3rd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:35

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 17:58WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 12:05WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 14:45CGYBrayden Pachal · Hookingdrawn by Ethen Frank2 min
  • 14:54CGYBlake Coleman · Closing hand on puck2 min

3rd

  • 2:49CGYTyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Ethen Frank2 min
  • 5:06WSHAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 8:43CGYAdam Klapka · Cross checkingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:33WSHConnor McMichael · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:33CGYRasmus Andersson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:33WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 17:38WSHTom Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWSH goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 15:12 — WSH 52% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.25R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.16R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.16B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.12C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.07M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bean · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCGY
3.53 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH64%36%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCGY
23
Shots on goal
33
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
22
Hits
15
22
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011000.00120—24:50
3M. RoyD000+120.15210—21:20
42M. FehérváryD000010.01360—20:41
6J. ChychrunD011+110.12100—18:42
26N. DowdC000010.170205218:10
21A. ProtasL101+230.60010—17:51
43T. WilsonR000030.29434—17:25
38R. SandinD000010.03110—17:18
8A. OvechkinL000040.38000—16:47
22B. DuhaimeL000000.00510—16:29
57T. van RiemsdykD011+200.00220—16:27
17D. StromeC101020.450006714:56
24C. McMichaelL000+200.00102—14:37
20L. EllerC011+110.120104513:46
88A. MangiapaneL000010.77212—13:18
80P. DuboisC101+110.220023811:25
16T. RaddyshR000000.00010—10:35
53E. FrankR000020.18000—07:15
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)33321.9702.22+1.2260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).