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New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV TNT, truTV·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Fox's goal at 11:26 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 16, PIT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Joel Blomqvist stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G), 2. Ryan Shea (2 G), 3. Adam Fox (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Miller2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    R. Shea2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR151437516
PITPIT11202028340

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    C. Glass (11), D. Heinen (14)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:53
  2. NYR
    W. Cuylle(15)PPG
    K. Miller (10), R. Smith (17)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:12

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (42), A. Panarin (36)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:00

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:57
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:31
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.04win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:21
  4. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:26
  5. NYR
    J. Miller(13)EN
    wristxG 0.71win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:53

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:24NYRMatt Rempe · Interferencedrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min
  • 17:41PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min

2nd

  • 4:45NYRUrho Vaakanainen · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 12:26NYRWill Cuylle · Interferencedrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Fox, 3rd 11:26 — NYR 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.21K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.19S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.16A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.16M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.15M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.12P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.10M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.09P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04R. Shea · Goal · xG 0.04M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.04P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.03R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.03C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · Goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 3.8 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsPIT
2.24 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.01 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR15%85%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 3.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsPIT
16
Shots on goal
40
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
29
Hits
11
18
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
79K. MillerD011+100.00110—23:24
55R. LindgrenD022+210.02050—22:14
16V. TrocheckC011+110.073104220:17
23A. FoxD112010.08020—20:14
17W. BorgenD000-110.01430—19:46
26J. VeseyL112+110.04100—18:10
93M. ZibanejadC011+100.000103617:22
4B. SchneiderD000020.01120—17:18
8J. MillerC202020.865104316:56
10A. PanarinL011-100.00010—15:56
18U. VaakanainenD000010.03112—15:51
13A. LafrenièreL000-220.13400—14:29
91R. SmithR022+120.28100—14:19
50W. CuylleL101+120.41302—14:17
39S. CarrickC000000.211005513:52
34A. KaliyevR000+100.00000—12:05
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.01100010:38
73M. RempeC000000.00302006:52
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)40373.9253.76+0.7660:00

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).