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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 9:53 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were PIT 22, NYR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.5 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 2 A), 3. Reilly Smith (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Smith1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT061917222
NYRNYR01021428432

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:19
  2. NYR
    slapxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:28
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:58

3rd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.09win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:29
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:53
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:22

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:15NYRArtemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

2nd

  • 1:02NYRVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 4:06NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Roughingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 4:06PITBlake Lizotte · Interferencedrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 12:39PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 16:08NYRSam Carrick · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

3rd

  • 4:39PITRyan Shea · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:18NYRZac Jones · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 10:36PITAnthony Beauvillier · High stickingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 3rd 9:53 — NYR 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.22R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.21C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.15R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.09W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.08A. Edstrom · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.07R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.07R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.00V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 2.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
3.32 G
All situations
4 G2.5
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
1.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT64%36%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
22
Shots on goal
32
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011+200.00020—23:31
58K. LetangD000-110.21110—23:27
24M. GrzelcykD000-120.07020—21:22
17B. RustR000-150.9220010020:43
87S. CrosbyC000-140.560005320:36
67R. RakellR000-140.76410—19:39
28M. PetterssonD011000.00012—19:27
71E. MalkinC000-120.230002017:08
10D. O'ConnorL000000.04100—15:40
8M. BuntingL011-100.00000—14:46
5R. SheaD000-300.00022—14:38
53P. TomasinoR101030.22100—13:07
46B. LizotteC101010.093021712:57
38O. PickeringD000-100.02020—12:38
72A. BeauvillierR000-200.00002—11:30
55N. AcciariC000000.001002911:02
19C. GlassC011000.131103310:54
13K. HayesR000+100.08000—10:26
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)32284.8752.52-1.4858:29

Season series

NYR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).