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Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 8-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Chychrun's goal at 10:38 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were WSH 30, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 8 of 13 (.615), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (2 G), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (3 A), 3. Martin Fehérváry (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    J. Chychrun2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    P. Dubois3 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Fehérváry1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH15512213830
PITPIT19111112332

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:13
  2. PIT
    K. Letang(8)PPG
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:21

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:10
  2. PIT
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:36
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:38
  4. WSH
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:17
  5. WSH
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    14:25
  6. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-2
    18:05

3rd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.08Video
    7-2
    13:11
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.28Video
    7-3
    14:22
  3. WSH
    M. Roy (15)
    wristxG 0.14Video
    8-3
    17:19

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·PIT 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:50PITVincent Desharnais · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 6:50WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 14:36WSHLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 17:04WSHJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

3rd

  • 2:26PITVincent Desharnais · Holdingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 2:59PITKris Letang · High sticking double minordrawn by Dylan Strome4 min
  • 12:16PITEvgeni Malkin · Holdingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun, 2nd 10:38 — WSH 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.55D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.27M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.18M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.17K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.16K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.13K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.11C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.07C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.05C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.04C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
3.08 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.07 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH42%58%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 3.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
15
23
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD022+100.01040—21:42
74J. CarlsonD011+210.38010—21:05
6J. ChychrunD202+260.28022—20:29
38R. SandinD022+200.04130—18:51
42M. FehérváryD112+110.11320—18:51
88A. MangiapaneL011+120.37200—18:20
8A. OvechkinL000+140.50410—18:00
20L. EllerC000+100.020123816:39
53E. FrankR101+120.15100—16:00
21A. ProtasL101030.11000—15:20
24C. McMichaelL011+330.03010—15:12
57T. van RiemsdykD011+200.00010—15:11
80P. DuboisC033+310.240124514:58
17D. StromeC101+130.180204313:56
16T. RaddyshR022+100.04000—13:20
26N. DowdC000-120.224104512:43
43T. WilsonR101+310.19410—12:17
22B. DuhaimeL112+110.1422010011:53
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)32293.9063.61+0.6159:56

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).