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Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 10:28 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — PIT 3.8, WSH 3.9; shots on goal were PIT 32, WSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Joel Blomqvist stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Joel Blomqvist (32 saves, .941), 3. Rasmus Sandin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Blomqvist32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    R. Sandin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT211011210432
WSHWSH11011806234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin (13), S. Crosby (10)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:11
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:59
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:22

2nd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:04

3rd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.10win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:28
  2. PIT
    snapxG 0.87win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:37

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:33PITLars Eller · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
  • 10:29WSHMatt Roy · Trippingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 12:47PITErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

3rd

  • 12:02WSHJakub Vrana · High stickingdrawn by Jack St. Ivany2 min
  • 13:22PITValtteri Puustinen · Holdingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 3rd 10:28 — PIT 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.29T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.26A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.22A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.19R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.19D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.17T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.17P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.16T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.14T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.13B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.13C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.07C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Sandin · Goal · xG 0.05A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.03A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.02D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.00T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 3.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
3.83 G
All situations
2 G3.9
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT23%77%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.09 – 3.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
32
Shots on goal
34
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
16
21
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+220.53400—22:41
28M. PetterssonD011010.01010—22:37
65E. KarlssonD112050.29212—21:21
87S. CrosbyC011030.062004620:17
67R. RakellR000030.35010—20:10
10D. O'ConnorL000-100.36040—18:54
71E. MalkinC112+230.251005018:35
17B. RustR011+250.21100—18:27
24M. GrzelcykD000+200.00110—18:16
20L. EllerC000+200.071226417:19
27R. GravesD000020.02230—16:46
3J. St. IvanyD000000.00010—16:08
55N. AcciariC101010.870203613:52
8M. BuntingL101+130.32200—12:17
18J. PuljujarviR000020.22210—10:10
46B. LizotteC000000.011105609:51
72A. BeauvillierR000020.22000—09:14
48V. PuustinenR000000.07002—07:30
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Blomqvist(W)34322.9413.87+1.8759:35

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).