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Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ALT, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-0. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 4:26 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 25, VAN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Thatcher Demko (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Jake DeBrusk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Pettersson.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    T. Demko25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. DeBrusk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL01001104025
VANVAN0811528331

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:26

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(17)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:20
  2. VAN
    F. Chytil (10), T. Myers (14)
    backhandxG 0.33Video
    0-3
    19:51

Penalties

COL 31 PIM·VAN 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:50VANPius Suter · Hookingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 10:04COLKeaton Middleton · Holdingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 15:25VANDrew O'Connor · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 19:08COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

2nd

  • 15:59COLMiles Wood · Fightingdrawn by Derek Forbort5 min
  • 15:59VANDerek Forbort · Fightingdrawn by Miles Wood5 min

3rd

  • 7:00COLMiles Wood · Cross checkingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 7:00VANElias Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 7:00COLMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min
  • 12:30COLMiles Wood · Holdingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 12:30COLMiles Wood · Slashingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min
  • 12:30COLRoss Colton · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 12:30VANTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 12:30COLMiles Wood · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:35COLCale Makar · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCOL goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 2nd 4:26 — VAN 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.45D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.33B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.25D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.25J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.21T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.17F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.14E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.14E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.12E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.11D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.11F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.10K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.08D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.07B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hoglander · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.04F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN3 G · 3.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVAN
2.30 G
All situations
2 G3.7
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL32%68%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVAN
25
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/6
31
Penalty minutes
13
23
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-200.07020—33:00
8C. MakarD000-140.53122—30:36
29N. MacKinnonC000-150.441006521:45
88M. NecasC000-130.29000021:10
62A. LehkonenL000-120.46010—20:54
49S. GirardD000-120.03010—19:15
25L. O'ConnorR000020.043105014:55
27J. DrouinL000-210.03000—14:29
17P. KellyC000000.004005014:18
37C. MittelstadtC000-100.000005013:42
70S. MalinskiD000010.03140—13:32
20R. ColtonC000010.114126713:09
18J. DruryC000020.111003811:17
67K. MiddletonD000000.00212—10:50
42J. MansonD000010.03202—10:11
94J. KivirantaL000000.0020010009:57
16J. ParssinenC000-110.09100009:21
28M. WoodL000000.021123—08:39
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)30282.9333.35+1.3557:40

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).