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Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV ALT, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kiefer Sherwood's goal at 16:04 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.3 to 2.6; shots on goal were COL 31, VAN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (3 G), 2. Thatcher Demko (30 saves, .968), 3. Elias Pettersson.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    K. Sherwood3 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL06013112131
VANVAN11011015325

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.60win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:14

2nd period

  1. VAN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:04

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.43win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:25
  2. COL
    snapxG 0.17Video
    1-3
    19:14

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·VAN 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:08VANErik Brannstrom · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:25VANJ.T. Miller · Cross checkingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 5:29COLSamuel Girard · Holding the stickdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 10:13COLKeaton Middleton · Cross checkingdrawn by Nils Hoglander2 min
  • 15:07VANDanton Heinen · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

3rd

  • 11:34VANTyler Myers · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCOL goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Kiefer Sherwood, 2nd 16:04 — VAN 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.60K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.43B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.25K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.24E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.16K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.15C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.14D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.13C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.11K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.10E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.06C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.02T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.00N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.00C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.00J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.00
VAN3 G · 3.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsVAN
2.61 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL51%49%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsVAN
31
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
30
8
Blocked shots
18
22
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-140.12110—28:51
7D. ToewsD000010.05120—27:48
29N. MacKinnonC000-140.170102525:01
96M. RantanenR011-120.061008324:14
13V. NichushkinR101-220.68100—22:46
62A. LehkonenL000030.17000—20:07
20R. ColtonC000-130.193005020:02
49S. GirardD000-120.05002—19:38
37C. MittelstadtC000000.000105717:17
70S. MalinskiD000040.19130—15:51
25L. O'ConnorR000010.18100—13:18
44C. de HaanD000-100.00200—13:08
17P. KellyC000000.145006711:54
94J. KivirantaL000010.03100—10:18
82I. IvanC000-120.310006009:53
67K. MiddletonD000010.00002—09:00
14C. WagnerR000-110.22100—05:29
48T. FelhaberL000000.00100—04:34
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)24222.9172.61+0.6156:51

Season series

VAN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).