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Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

FinalTV FDSNSO, SNP·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Nashville Predators 3-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Linus Karlsson's goal at 1:28 of the second period, which took the Canucks' chances from 47% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were VAN 22, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (19 saves, .905), 2. Quinn Hughes (2 A), 3. Gustav Nyquist.

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros19 saves, .905
  2. ★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    G. Nyquist

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1131316322
NSHNSH11308011132

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:11
  2. NSH
    deflectedxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:41

2nd period

  1. VAN
    T. Myers (13), Q. Hughes (44)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:28

3rd period

  1. VAN
    P. Suter(13)EN
    wristxG 0.46win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:41

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:54NSHSteven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min

2nd

  • 13:56VANDakota Joshua · Hookingdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min

3rd

  • 3:23VANPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 6:17NSHMichael McCarron · Trippingdrawn by Jake DeBrusk2 min
  • 11:28VANserved by N. Hoglander · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:24NSHFilip Forsberg · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Thatcher Demko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Linus Karlsson, 2nd 1:28 — VAN 47% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.22F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.22G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.21Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.16R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.15C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.10Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.09R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
2.52 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.72 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN35%65%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
32
34%
Faceoffs
66%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
24
10
Blocked shots
7
10
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD022+220.34000—24:36
57T. MyersD011+110.09110—24:36
17F. HronekD000+110.09100—22:34
27D. ForbortD011000.00020—19:49
40E. PetterssonC011+210.001201118:42
24P. SuterC101-110.460023318:30
6B. BoeserR000-130.21010—18:26
9J. MillerC011010.065104716:21
8C. GarlandR000010.03000—15:31
74J. DeBruskL000010.19200—15:23
20D. HeinenL000-120.43010—15:14
47N. JuulsenD000-110.00410—13:52
53T. BluegerC000010.012004413:27
7C. SoucyD000-110.05000—12:58
81D. JoshuaC000000.00212011:48
34P. Di GiuseppeL000010.06100—11:24
21N. HoglanderL101+220.20000—10:35
94L. KarlssonC101+220.25000010:23
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(W)32311.9692.80+1.8059:51

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).