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Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV FDSNSO, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 16:53 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were NSH 19, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (27 saves, 1.000), 2. Kevin Lankinen (16 saves, .941), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros27 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VAN
    K. Lankinen16 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH091327319
VANVAN0901008027

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    slapxG 0.19win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:53

3rd period

  1. NSH
    wristxG 0.68win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:16
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.57Video
    3-0
    19:29

Penalties

NSH 11 PIM·VAN 9 PIM

1st

  • 9:41VANDakota Joshua · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 9:41NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Dakota Joshua5 min

2nd

  • 9:22VANDanton Heinen · Hookingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min
  • 10:17NSHJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min
  • 12:49VANNils Hoglander · Roughingdrawn by Spencer Stastney2 min

3rd

  • 5:04NSHFilip Forsberg · Holdingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min
  • 12:45NSHLuke Evangelista · High stickingdrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalNSH goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 2nd 16:53 — NSH 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.26N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.21J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.17M. Sasson · Missed · xG 0.16P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.15T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.11C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.09D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.07M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.05C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.04C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.04P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.03P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01G. Brisebois · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN0 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsVAN
3.11 G
All situations
0 G2.4
1.71 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH39%61%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsVAN
19
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
21
Hits
51
19
Blocked shots
14
23
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+220.04030—23:53
76B. SkjeiD000+110.00030—21:38
37N. BlankenburgD011+220.09210—21:21
9F. ForsbergL011+110.23202—19:38
81J. MarchessaultR011+100.06022—18:46
20J. BarronD000+120.10020—18:07
91S. StamkosC101+110.190004718:00
24S. StastneyD000000.00000—17:54
2L. SchennD000000.00820—15:23
14G. NyquistR112+220.8500010015:13
77L. EvangelistaR000020.33002—14:44
17M. JankowskiL000000.00100—14:33
90R. O'ReillyC000+200.070104314:32
10C. SissonsC112+210.572208314:25
47M. McCarronC000010.082056013:07
40F. SvechkovC000030.181003311:55
12V. HinostrozaC000010.26130011:09
89O. WiesblattC000000.04200009:42
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)272701.0002.40+2.4060:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).