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Flames at Jets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 19:09 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 22, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.7 goals below expected; Eric Comrie stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Gabriel Vilardi (2 G, 2 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 2 A), 3. Eric Comrie (20 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    E. Comrie20 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0311217222
WPGWPG192929527

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(27)
    G. Vilardi (24), D. Gustafsson (2)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:28

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Appleton(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:17
  2. CGY
    M. Weegar(6)PPG
    Y. Sharangovich (9), J. Huberdeau (17)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:08
  3. WPG
    G. Vilardi(21)
    D. Samberg (6), M. Scheifele (28)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:09

3rd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(22)PPG
    K. Connor (35), N. Ehlers (29)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:07
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(17)
    J. Bean (4)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    4:27
  3. WPG
    M. Scheifele(28)PPG
    G. Vilardi (25), K. Connor (36)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:08

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·WPG 10 PIM

1st

  • 18:53WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Kuzmenko2 min

2nd

  • 13:21WPGMason Appleton · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min

3rd

  • 1:32CGYserved by A. Kuzmenko · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 6:31CGYMartin Pospisil · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 10:52WPGNeal Pionk · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 10:52CGYRasmus Andersson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Eric Comrie2 min
  • 14:09WPGRasmus Kupari · High stickingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 17:41CGYRasmus Andersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 17:41WPGMorgan Barron · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCGY goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 2nd 19:09 — WPG 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.45M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.20K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.16G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.14R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.05M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.04H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.00M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.00A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.00C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 2.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWPG
1.92 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY41%59%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWPG
22
Shots on goal
27
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
2/2
8
Penalty minutes
10
38
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD101-230.16530—23:07
4R. AnderssonD000-110.11014—21:33
17Y. SharangovichC011030.260106020:01
44J. HanleyD000-100.00210—19:40
11M. BacklundC000-110.101002518:52
10J. HuberdeauL011+120.15200—18:21
91N. KadriC101+110.210005717:59
20B. ColemanL000-130.44400—17:47
62D. MiromanovD000-210.02400—17:44
96A. KuzmenkoL000030.18100—16:39
27M. CoronatoR000-100.060003316:33
24J. BeanD011+120.03000—16:31
94B. PachalD000+110.06100—15:58
22J. PelletierL000+100.01410—15:46
76M. PospisilC000010.0491210014:56
70R. LombergL000-200.01000—08:19
61C. BishopC000-200.00210008:01
21K. RooneyC000-200.003007506:45
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)27225.8152.33-2.6759:24

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).