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Flames at Jets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV SNW, CITY·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 2:15 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 10% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 22, WPG 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Eric Comrie stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (38 saves, .974), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers, 3. Blake Coleman (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    B. Coleman1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1611016322
WPGWPG012011116139

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Coronato(11)
    B. Coleman (14)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:32

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(2)PPG
    B. Coleman (15), R. Kerins (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:14

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(11)
    C. Miller (7), L. Stanley (7)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:15
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(10)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.47win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:55

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:42CGYNazem Kadri · High stickingdrawn by Logan Stanley2 min
  • 19:57WPGMorgan Barron · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 14:05WPGMark Scheifele · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min

3rd

  • 6:55CGYNazem Kadri · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCGY goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, 3rd 2:15 — WPG 10% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.28M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.27N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.23K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.16G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.16A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.16N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.12A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05D. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.00D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 3.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWPG
1.92 G
All situations
1 G3.8
0.71 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.31 G
Power play
0 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY10%90%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.00 – 3.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWPG
22
Shots on goal
39
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
11
21
Blocked shots
17
24
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000+120.04410—23:34
4R. AnderssonD000+110.05040—22:53
7K. BahlD000+120.07130—22:47
20B. ColemanL123+141.09200—20:04
62D. MiromanovD000+110.02010—19:56
11M. BacklundC000+130.182104119:21
91N. KadriC000010.020045018:57
10J. HuberdeauL000020.07050—18:06
27M. CoronatoR101+120.07000—17:57
94B. PachalD000-100.00220—14:44
17Y. SharangovichC000010.160006714:18
76M. PospisilC000010.01110014:07
96A. KuzmenkoL101010.08010—13:29
24J. BeanD000-100.00200—13:24
22J. PelletierL000000.0020010012:14
86R. KerinsC011000.051103311:48
70R. LombergL000000.00300—09:32
21K. RooneyC000010.015106008:49
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)39381.9743.79+2.7960:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).