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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV FDSNDET, FDSNSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 2:02 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were DET 39, TBL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 11 of 16 (.688), 2.9 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (38 saves, .974), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy38 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET014112013139
TBLTBL1641006522

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(27)
    E. Lilleberg (10), N. Perbix (8)
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:02

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(23)PPG
    N. Kucherov (46), D. Raddysh (16)
    wristxG 0.37win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:16
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(21)
    V. Hedman (29), J. Guentzel (22)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:50
  3. TBL
    M. Chaffee(8)
    C. Atkinson (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    3:58
  4. DET
    L. Raymond(19)PPG
    P. Kane (19), M. Seider (24)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    14:12
  5. TBL
    D. Raddysh(2)PPG
    N. Kucherov (47), J. Guentzel (23)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    15:06

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·TBL 14 PIM

1st

  • 6:51TBLBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 17:56TBLMitchell Chaffee · Hookingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min

2nd

  • 0:04DETMarco Kasper · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 6:24TBLMichael Eyssimont · Hookingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min
  • 12:16TBLMichael Eyssimont · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 14:32DETBen Chiarot · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 9:11TBLMichael Eyssimont · Trippingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 14:55TBLMitchell Chaffee · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min
  • 18:15DETMarco Kasper · Boardingdrawn by Conor Geekie2 min
  • 18:15DETErik Gustafsson · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 18:15TBLMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 1st 2:02 — TBL 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.37B. Point · Goal · xG 0.32N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.27Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.27M. Chaffee · Goal · xG 0.17A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.14N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.10N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.09B. Point · Missed · xG 0.09B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.06B. Point · Missed · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03B. Point · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 2.8 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
3.21 G
All situations
5 G2.8
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
1.21 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET54%46%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
39
Shots on goal
22
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/6
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
14
23
Hits
30
9
Blocked shots
22
15
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-250.19800—24:21
56E. GustafssonD000-200.00202—19:49
93A. DeBrincatR000-150.5500010018:44
88P. KaneR011-140.14000—18:04
71D. LarkinC000-150.580205617:48
37J. CompherL000020.290004417:41
23L. RaymondL101-130.33110—17:35
77S. EdvinssonD000020.04020—17:30
8B. ChiarotD000-120.05002—16:41
11V. TarasenkoR000020.34100—16:22
3J. HollD000-100.02010—15:45
48J. BerggrenR000020.06000—14:58
27M. RasmussenC000-120.26300014:56
20A. JohanssonD000000.00210—14:23
18A. CoppC000-110.130106413:59
36C. FischerR000-140.1820010013:24
90J. VelenoC000-100.001005013:23
92M. KasperC000-100.00314012:06
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)16115.6882.08-2.9240:00
34A. Lyon6601.0000.69+0.6920:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).