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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FDSNNOX, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Eklund's goal at 17:30 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 13% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 22, SJS 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Yaroslav Askarov stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (36 saves, .973), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Macklin Celebrini (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Fleury36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN161917322
SJSSJS01611308137

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:51

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:34
  2. SJS
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:30

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:43

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·SJS 0 PIM

1st

  • 6:03MINJake Middleton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 19:10MINMarcus Foligno · Slashingdrawn by William Eklund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: William Eklund, 2nd 17:30 — SJS 13% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.23F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.12W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.11J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.08M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.08W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.08L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.08W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06C. Graf · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.04J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.02B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.6 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
2.23 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN41%59%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
22
Shots on goal
37
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
20
Hits
18
17
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24Z. BogosianD000+110.00210—25:09
5J. MiddletonD000+120.13122—24:28
36M. ZuccarelloR123+310.08020—22:13
47D. ChisholmD011+110.19010—19:46
23M. RossiC101+330.370104719:29
4J. MerrillD000+110.02020—18:55
12M. BoldyL112+340.81100—18:36
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.014103818:20
90M. JohanssonL000000.14010—16:53
44T. DermottD000000.02010—16:26
17M. FolignoL000000.00402—15:34
55D.JiricekD000010.02110—15:23
89F. GaudreauC000010.101205814:40
38R. HartmanR000020.070203313:36
13Y. TreninC000010.02100013:27
22M. KhusnutdinovC000-110.061006709:53
19D. ShoreC000-100.08200007:53
39B. JonesC000-120.04200006:29
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)37361.9732.56+1.5660:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).